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Martin thought the fat lady had smiled and knew what was going to happen to him due to a sense of foreboding and paranoia. This could be interpreted as Martin projecting his own fears and anxieties onto the fat lady, imagining that she had insight into his fate. This kind of reaction often occurs in stories where characters are in a tense, uncertain situation, leading them to see signs and omens in ordinary events. The smile might have seemed sinister or knowing to Martin because of his heightened state of fear or suspicion, making him believe that the fat lady was aware of some impending misfortune.

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